Impact of Star Returns on WNBA Playoffs: Collier, Clark, and More

Explore how the return of key players like Napheesa Collier and Caitlin Clark could shape the WNBA playoffs, with insights into team dynamics and championship odds.

The 2025 WNBA season has been significantly impacted by injuries, with over 117 players missing a combined 868 games. Key players such as Breanna Stewart, Caitlin Clark, and Napheesa Collier have been sidelined, affecting their teams' performances. As the playoffs approach, the return of these stars could dramatically alter the landscape of the postseason.

Key Returns and Their Impact

  • Napheesa Collier (Minnesota Lynx): Returned on August 24 after an ankle injury. Her absence cost the Lynx approximately 4.5 points per game. With her back, Minnesota's title chances have increased from 58.8% to 68%.

  • Caitlin Clark (Indiana Fever): Despite missing significant time due to a groin injury, Clark's presence on the court improves the Fever's performance by 7.5 Net Points. Her return is crucial for Indiana's playoff aspirations.

  • Breanna Stewart (New York Liberty): Stewart's return from a knee injury is pivotal for the Liberty, who saw their title chances plummet from 33% to 2% during her absence. Her impact is estimated at 48.5 total Net Points over the games she missed.

Team Dynamics and Playoff Odds

  • Las Vegas Aces: A'ja Wilson's return from a wrist injury has bolstered the Aces, who are now more competitive. Wilson's absence earlier in the season cost the team nearly 20 points in total scoring margin.

  • Atlanta Dream: The return of Jordin Canada and Rhyne Howard has strengthened the Dream, with each player adding nearly 2 points per game. Their presence is critical as Atlanta eyes a deep playoff run.

Conclusion

As the WNBA playoffs near, the return of injured stars is set to be a game-changer. Teams like the Lynx, Liberty, and Aces are poised to benefit significantly, potentially reshaping the championship race. The coming weeks will reveal whether these returns can translate into postseason success.

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