2025 NCAAF Bowl Projections: CFP Shakeup and Postseason Matchups After Week 1
Week 1 results reshaped the 2025 NCAAF bowl projections, with Alabama's loss and Florida State's rise leading the changes. Get the latest CFP and bowl matchup insights.

The 2025 NCAAF season kicked off with a bang, and Week 1 results have already caused significant shifts in the College Football Playoff (CFP) and bowl projections. Here’s a breakdown of the key changes and what to expect moving forward.
CFP Shakeup After Week 1
Alabama’s unexpected loss to Florida State was the headline of the weekend. The Seminoles’ dominant performance not only boosted their stock but also knocked the Crimson Tide out of the CFP picture—at least for now. Florida State’s win has positioned them as a serious contender, while Alabama will need to regroup quickly.
New CFP Format
This year’s CFP features a 12-team format, with the five highest-ranked conference champions and the next seven highest-ranked teams making the field. The top four teams will receive first-round byes, while the remaining eight will battle it out in campus-site games. The quarterfinals and semifinals will be hosted by the New Year’s Six bowls, culminating in the National Championship on January 19 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami.
Bowl Season Overview
Beyond the CFP, the 2025 bowl season promises excitement with 35 games on the schedule. The action begins on December 13 with the Cricket Celebration Bowl and includes fan-favorite matchups like the Rose Bowl, Sugar Bowl, and Orange Bowl.
Key Matchups to Watch
- First-Round CFP Games: No. 12 Tulane vs. No. 5 Oregon (Bonagura) or No. 5 Miami (Schlabach)
- Quarterfinals: Potential showdowns include No. 7 Texas vs. No. 2 Penn State and No. 8 Florida State vs. No. 1 Ohio State.
- National Championship: Ohio State emerges as the early favorite after their Week 1 victory over Texas.
Rising Teams
- Florida State: A statement win over Alabama has the Seminoles on the rise.
- Utah: With an improved offense, the Utes are looking like a serious contender.
- Tulane: Their dominant win over Northwestern has them in the CFP conversation.
What’s Next?
As the season progresses, expect more shuffling in the rankings. Stay tuned for weekly updates and in-depth analysis from ESPN’s Kyle Bonagura and Mark Schlabach.
Full Bowl Schedule
From the LA Bowl to the Holiday Bowl, the 2025 bowl season is packed with exciting matchups. Mark your calendars and get ready for a thrilling postseason!